

I mean an economy never really “crashes” completely. People will always be trading goods for services. So this will always depend on your definition of crashing. But when services like electricity, food, and heat are being denied to more and more people, it’s a sign that things are falling apart.



Russia’s theory of victory is the same as it’s been in every war they’ve been in. To wear down the enemy’s numbers by throwing more bodies at the problem. And there are some signs this is working. It looks like Ukraine probably is fielding less soldiers this year than they did last year. Russia is fielding considerably more. There are a lot of Ukrainian desertions. I’m not sure how long Ukraine can keep this up. This is my biggest fear for Ukraine.